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Based on their empirical record, [experts] do not know more about their subject matter than the general population, but they are much better at narrating - or, worse, at smoking you with complicated mathematical models. They are also more likely to wear a tie.

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"Nassim-Nicholas-Taleb Randki." pl.101sharequotes.com. 2016. http://pl.101sharequotes.com/quote/nassim-nicholas-taleb-based_on_their_empirical_record-110806.